In NBC/WSJ polls before the 2018 midterms, Democratic Party favorable ratings were typically mid-to-high 30s among registered voters: 38% positive in September and November 2018, 35% in October. (Net ...

DavidTeesdaIe @NateSilver538 In presidential years maybe, but they have been bang on in midterms like 2018 and 2022. In 2025's governor's races there was a significant error where they underestimated ...